Friday, June 29, 2007

Investing in Car Dealerships: Doing Your Homework

Investing in Car Dealerships: Doing Your Homework


This article attempts to help give the investor a broader basis upon which to decide whether a dealership merits their time, money and attention.

Interviewing Factories and Financial Institutions

Lenders have an affirmative duty not to promiscuously disclose the financial condition of their debtors. In addition, most Sales and Service Agreements contain confidentiality agreements, with respect to the unauthorized disclosure of a dealer's business. Consequently, questions directed to factories and finance companies should be limited to pertinent, non-confidential questions.

The Buyer's Responsibilities

230 Kan. 684, 640 P2d 1235 held that not only was a bank under no duty to disclose information to a borrower intending to purchase a dealership, but that the investor could not avoid responsibility of exercising reasonable diligence for his own protection. See too: 387 NW2d 373 (Iowa) and 773 F2d 771 (7th Cir.) A buyer may not abandon all caution and responsibility for his own protection and unilaterally impose a fiduciary relationship on another without a conscious assumption of such duties by the one sought to be held liable as a fiduciary. 724 SW2d 343

Courts have even held that a seller's accountants upon discovery its client's financial statements were misleading at the time they were given out, had no duty to correct them, even though they were included in a prospectus. See: 513 FSupp 608 N.D. Ga.

The Physical Inspection of the Dealership

Due diligence requires more from a physical inspection of the dealership then searching for defects in the facility, or potential EPA or OSHA problems. A skilled advisor can surmise how well a potential seller is operating by a visit to the facility. Such things as whether the sales people are energetic, or lethargic; the amount of time it takes sales personnel to greet customers; whether the store is clean and well maintained; whether awards plaques are kept up to date, all indicate the financial condition of the dealership.

Public Information

Data can be obtained from public information to determine not only the financial strength of the dealership, but it can also suggest how to structure an offer more attractable to a seller. Sometimes a seller will accept less money because of the manner in which the offer was structured. Determine what a seller needs, then find a way to enable him or her to get it.

UCC-1, title and mechanic's lien searches all supply information without having to seek permission to obtain credit reports and without violating contractual relationships with lenders.

The Fallibility of Dealership Financial Statements

Dealers are required to file financial statements each month. These statements, however, should not be materially relied upon in making projections.

A profitable parts department and a losing service department may mean the service department is doing poorly, or that a strong parts manager is intimidating the service manager into paying too much for the part.

Industry Guides are available for each area of a dealership's operations. Guides, however, are good servants but bad masters. They are prepared by many different groups, using a variety of sources. A prospective purchaser should:

(1) Compare the selling dealer's actual performance figures, to the guides and obtain explanations for any variances; and

(2) Prepare a pro forma statement, based upon expected sales and forecast gross profits and expenses, based upon personal experience, rather than the selling dealer's experience.

(3) Recognize inconsistencies and irregularities in the statements, and pursue a more thorough investigation of those items.

Financial statements do not provide answers about a dealership; they present a method to formulate intelligent questions in order to pursue answers.

Keys to Analyzing Dealership Financial Statements

Basic "flags" when analyzing dealership financial statements: see our website: http://www.automotiveadvisors.com for a checklist of some basic flags.

Consistency should exist from month to month in each individual account. All inventory and expense accounts should be compared. Note and receive an explanation with respect to major fluctuations.

Buying Without Relying

One buys a dealership without relying solely upon a seller's financial statements in the same way in which a manufacturer opens a new point. Major differences in these approaches generally inure to the buyer's benefit. For example, when opening a brand new store, there will be no existing wholesale parts business, retail sales base; yellow page advertising; or vehicles lined up for service the day after the escrow closes.

Buying an existing business, on the other hand, provides all that, as well as "historical" versus "projected" data to use with forecasts.

In addition to reviewing financial statement, three additional questions should be answered before making projections for a new dealership:

(a) the current retail sales volume;

(b) the planning potential, at closing; and

(c) the new rent factor.

With those three figures, one may guesstimate the dealership's earnings under proper management; and, he answers to those questions may be obtained from the factory and a reading of the lease.

Officer, Director and Shareholder Approval

Most dealerships are incorporated, or LLCs, and a check with the Secretary of State or Corporations Commissioner will reveal the shareholders, directors and officers of the corporation, and the members of an LLC. A check of local records will generally reveal a d.b.a., or general partnership, whether or not a partnership agreement or stock has been pledged or encumbered and, if so, to whom.

Information, regarding shareholders and officers should be acquired from sources in addition to the factory, as the factory may not have all the information needed to assure the buyer he or she is actually negotiating with the person who possesses the authority to make a contract. Dealers sometimes have silent partners, or sell an interest in the business without informing the factory. In either instance, a potential purchaser could be misled into negotiating with the wrong party.

You need that information to be sure you are negotiating with the right party. In 796 F2d 345 (10th Cir), Michael Gage, president of Michael Gage Chevrolet, signed a "Memorandum of Agreement" to sell his store. He had no approval from either the Board of Directors, or the shareholders of the corporation. Subsequently, the Board and the shareholders rejected Gage's agreement and entered into and approved a Buy-Sell Agreement, with another party that was consummated.

Gage sued the Board and the shareholders. The state court dismissed and Gage re-filed in federal court. The federal court held that when Gage (the dealer) signed a "Memorandum of Agreement" to sell, he had no approval from either the Board or the shareholders and "without such authority (he) could not validly contract to sell the corporation's assets."

Be aware too: states vary with respect to the number of shareholder votes required. Some require 100%, some a two-thirds vote and some a simple majority.

Attorneys, Accountants, Brokers and other Automotive Advisors

Attempt to determine the other party's advisors and whether they possess talent; are knowledgeable with respect to the automobile business; and their reputations for veracity and keeping their word. After an investigation is completed, a decision should be made whether or not to proceed. Some purchases are better avoided, regardless of the attraction.

Questions to Ask about the Business

Why did the Dealership Fail or Succeed?

As in "Valuation of Dealerships" (a topic for another article), the critical question is not whether a selling dealership's financial statements reflect a profit or a loss, but rather why?

The fact a financial statement shows a large net operating profit and a large number of vehicles sold is not enough answer to answer why it is profitable. See our website (automotiveadvisors.com) for a checklist of questions. The questions must be answered before projecting whether new management will make a profit and before deciding upon a reasonable offer for the dealership.

Actual Sales vs. Planning Potential

Planning potential is important for several reasons, such as vehicle allotment, build-out allotments, capitalization requirements and reasonable expectations. A low planning potential and high volume sales may mean the working capital requirements are unrealistic. It is almost impossible to be profitable when a dealership is capitalized too high, or too low.

When questioning the factory about planning potential, not only inquire as to the number, but also as to the manner in which the planning was derived, the date it was determined, when it is expected to be updated, whether it reflects actual sales in the market area and if not, why not.

Area of Sales and Service Responsibility

The dealership's area of geographic sales and service responsibility is important both with respect to surrounding dealers, and with respect to whether or not the factory intends to close an open store, or open a new store. Past service and sales numbers will be of less value to future projections if the factory intends to add or delete points.

Inquire of the factory, as to what the planning potential requirements would be, taking into consideration the newly closed or opened point.

Significant Document Checklist

Although some of the following items are more important when dealing with a stock sale, versus an assets sale, visit our website (automotiveadvisors.com) for a list of documents the prospective purchaser should have his or her advisors collect.

In addition, the advisors should be certain to verify addresses on insurance policies, as we have encountered instances where the address being insured was not the address where the dealership was located.

Finally, the appropriate advisors should have an understanding of past, pending and potential litigation, DMV, factory and finance company problems, along with any settlements, payment of sales taxes and whether or not favorable state unemployment insurance rates may be transferred.

Finding False Gold in Penny Stock

Finding False Gold in Penny Stock


As far as traders go, many do not see the penny stock as a solid way to do business. Many believe that dealing with penny stock is a risky business. And it really is. Some traders think that the next Microsoft and Walmart stock is buried in a penny stock, which is why they stick around trading unknown stocks over the market.

What is a penny stock? According to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), any stock under $5 is a penny stock. Definitions can vary; some set the cut-off point at $3, while others consider only those stocks trading at less than $1 to be a penny stock. What makes a penny stock risky? Certain issues must be considered before you decide to buy a penny stock:

1. Lack of Information Available to the Public - the key to any successful investment strategy is acquiring information to make informed decisions. In dealing with penny stock, information is much more difficult to find. Much of the information available about a penny stock is typically not from a credible source.

2. No Minimum Standards - Stocks on the OTCBB and Pink Sheets like the penny stock do not have to fulfill minimum standard requirements to remain on the exchange. Sometimes, this is why the stock is on one of these exchanges. Once a company can no longer maintain its position on one of the major exchanges, the company moves one of these smaller exchanges. While the OTCBB does require companies to file timely documents with the SEC, the Pink Sheets has no such requirement. Minimum standards act as a safety cushion for some investors and as a benchmark for some companies.

3. Lack of History - Many of the companies considered to be a penny stock are either newly formed or approaching bankruptcy. These companies will generally have a poor track record or none at all. As you can imagine, the lack of histories of companies only magnifies the difficulty in picking the right stock.

4. Liquidity - When a penny stock doesn't have much liquidity, two problems arise: first, there is the possibility that the stock you purchased cannot be sold. If there is a low level of liquidity, it may be hard to find a buyer for a particular penny stock, and you may be required to lower your price until it is considered attractive by another buyer. Second, low liquidity levels provide opportunities for some traders to manipulate stock prices, which is done in many different ways - the easiest is to buy large amounts of stock, hype it up and then sell it after other investors find it attractive

Penny stocks have been a thorn in the side of the SEC for some time because of the lack of available information and poor liquidity make these groups of stocks an easy target for fraudsters. There are many different ways these people will try to part you from your money, but here are two of the most common:

1. Biased Recommendations - Some companies pay individuals to recommend the company stock in different media, i.e. newsletters, financial television and radio shows. You may receive spam e-mail trying to persuade you to purchase a particular penny stock. Look to see if the issuers of the recommendations are being paid for their services as this is a giveaway of a bad investment and make sure that any press releases aren't given falsely by people looking to influence the price of a penny stock.

2. Off-Shore Brokers- The SEC permits companies selling stock outside the U.S. to foreign investors to be exempt from registering stock. These companies will typically sell the penny stock at a discount to offshore brokers who, in turn, sell them back to U.S. investors for a substantial profit. By cold calling a list of potential investors (investors with enough money to buy a particular stock) and providing attractive information, these dishonest brokers will use high-pressure sales tactics to persuade investors to purchase penny stock.

Be wary when investing on a penny stock. Chances are you will lose more money by putting your trust in a penny stock

Credit Scores = ROI Profits for Real Estate Investors

Credit Scores = ROI Profits for Real Estate Investors


Strong credit saves real estate investors money on mortgage finance costs. A good credit score, along with the other credit and mortgage qualifications, means that investors can pay lower fees for financing, such as points and interest charges. Also, good credit scores help you avoid garbage fees associated with nonprime loans.

However, the real money making difference for real estate investors comes into play in the return on investment (ROI). When you build up your credit score over 720, you open the way to finance multiple investment properties using other people's money. Today, you can get investment property financing for as little as 5% down when you meet the qualifying credit requirements. This means that your ROI on your cash investment for the down payment can be significant.

For example, let's take a home I found in Bradenton, Florida. Built in 1999, this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1600 square foot home looks like a great buy for only $219,000. Assume that the property could be purchased for $215,000. With strong credit, the 5% down cash investment of $10,750 buys into the appreciation value of $215,000. A lower credit score would mean that you'd have to put 10%-25% down or more, which lowers your return on investment. You would need $21,500-$53,750 down to buy into the same $215,000 appreciation investment. In this case, your ROI for your cash outlay would decrease significantly.

Of course, other factors like carrying costs affect your investment capabilities. The point: get your credit score over 720 so that when you're ready to buy investment property, you get the best return on your money

Volatile Range

Volatile Range


The stock market fell sharply Thu and Fri before and after the employment reports Fri morning. The Nonfarm Payrolls report showed 207,000 net jobs were added in July, which were 27,000 more than the market expected. Also, Hourly Earnings in July rose 0.4%, which was twice what the market expected. There's a strong inverse relationship between employment and profits, in part, because when employment increases, then productivity falls, which generally lowers profit growth. Moreover, some proportion of additional labor costs tend to come from profit growth when there is little slack in the economy. Furthermore, lower productivity is inflationary, ceritus paribus (all else equal).

Employment is a lagging indicator. The Unemployment Rate is currently 5.0%, which is considered to be the natural rate of unemployment, where there is an optimal balance of labor and leisure. A lower unemployment rate would indicate strain in the labor market, which would drive up wages. So, there is some concern for slowing profit growth and rising inflation, e.g. a wage-price spiral, although there have been signs of disinflation recently. Nonetheless, U.S. monetary policy is still accommodative, and the Federal Reserve will need to remain vigilant to preempt inflation.

Consequently, the stock market may have reached a short-term top last week, and may consolidate for a month or two. July-August-September is the seasonally weak period for the stock market. The chart below shows SPX rallied about 110 points over a 3 1/2 month period. The two big down days Thu and Fri were on lighter volume, which may indicate a trading range next week. SPX hit a high at about 1,246 last week, and 1,253 is a multi-year Fibonacci resistance level that may not hold for at least several months.

SPX closed at about 1,226 1/2 Fri. Short-term resistance is at the 20 day MA, currently about 1,231 1/2, last week's pre-Friday low at about 1,235, and the 10 day MA, currently just over 1,236. If SPX rises into that area early next week, that may be an opportunity to buy Sep puts. If SPX rises higher, e.g. to test the recent high or multi-year Fibonacci level, that may be an opportunity to buy Aug puts (SPX options expire in two weeks).

SPX is currently in a support zone, i.e. the congestion area over the past few weeks when it held the 10 day MA, and the long Price-by-Volume bar at around 1,225 (on left side of chart). Other short-term support levels are the open gap at 1,221, the 50 day MA, currently about 1,213 1/2, and the longest Price-by-Volume bar at around 1,200. If SPX fails to hold the 200 day MA, e.g. in Sep, then it may close the gaps at 1,174, 1,143, and 1,138.

Next week economic reports are: Mon: None, Tue: Productivity, Wholesale Inventories, and the FOMC announcement, Wed: Treasury Budget, Thu: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, and Business Inventories, Fri: Export & Import Prices, Trade Balance, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment. The FOMC is expected to raise the Fed Funds Rate another quarter point to 3.50% Tue. I believe the FOMC will continue to tighten the rest of this year, until monetary policy reaches a neutral stance (perhaps 5% Fed Funds Rate). The weekly oil inventory report is Wed.

Playing With Money - And Making More

Playing With Money - And Making More


Ready to start playing with your money? Not interested in complicated businesses or boring bank C.D.'s? Here are some methods that aren't quite a business because you can do them once, or just whenever you feel like it. Start small and the risk is small.

Loan Sharking

Years ago a friend got a good job when I loaned him $300 to buy the necessary tools. I charged a $6 per week loan fee (don't call it interest) until he paid in full. That's more than 100% annual interest, and yes, we're still friends. Check the laws in your area if you try this, and take collateral. I don't loanshark any longer, but in my early twenties I loaned as much as $2,000 at a time ($100/month loan fee), and only once was stiffed on a small loan.

Investing In Other's Expertise

John showed me several car magazines before I understood why an old fiberglass car was a good deal at $2,300. What's a Corvette? He convinced me to put up the money, and after a new transmission for $900, he sold the 1976 Corvette for $4,300, netting us $1,000. I took half the profit ($500) for putting up the money for the two weeks.

I've done this many times with friends who know cars but don't have cash. Incidentally, if I had paid a $50 cash advance fee and 18% interest to raise the money with a credit card, my profit would still have been over $400, and John did all the work. I love playing with money. Do you have any friends who know about boats?

Buying Estates

My wife and I met a couple who buy out estates, sell some of it at flea markets, then run the rest through auctions. They've made a living at this for years. After negotiating to buy a whole house full of stuff, thay load up their trailer. If they don't want to do the flea market thing, they auction everything on Sunday afternoon for a nice profit.

If you're a good judge of value and have an auction nearby, you could also do this with rummage sales. Offer $100 for everything, then auction it off piece-by-piece. An auction near us lets anyone in, with no fee to enter - just a 25% commission on anything sold.

Playing With The Casino's Money

When I worked the roulette wheel at a casino I saw many people foolishly writing down the numbers that came up. Their theories were mostly nonsense. Casinos welcome these players and even hand them the pen and paper.

One man, however, was actually scientific about it. He found a bias in the wheel, after "charting" it for more than 5,000 spins. A number pays 35 to 1, but one of the numbers, due to manufacturing imperfections or whatever, was appearing 1 in 27 spins, instead of the average 1 in 38 spins.

He bet $10 a spin, and he profited $80 for every 27 spins of the wheel in the long run, or about $100 per hour. Since the ups and downs are dramatic, this is not for the faint-hearted. Even though he made tens of thousands, I saw him lose as much as $700 in a night. Remember too that not all wheels have biases (the casino eventually replaced that wheel). Have you ever tried "card counting" in blackjack?...

Creating Wealth by Gearing Up

Creating Wealth by Gearing Up


Gearing is where you borrow money to invest. As already mentioned, it is best to clear all your debt before looking at investment. However, there will arise situations where the investment is a good one and it is necessary to borrow a small amount to make the deal work. The borrowing may be for property or shares.

Gearing allows you to increase your investment and potentially obtain a higher return. On the downside, however, if the investment does not pay off you stand to lose a lot more. Negative gearing comes about when the interest you are paying on your borrowing is greater than the income from your investment (for example, from a rental property). You can claim the loss or difference against your taxation and write it off as a deduction against other income.

Negative gearing is not necessarily the best investment strategy. Even though you get a tax break it is still costing you money. That is, you may be saving yourself 25 cents in the dollar, but you have to spend one dollar to achieve that.

People look at negative gearing because they calculate that they will be able to sell the investment for more than they bought it and in the meantime their losses are deductible off other income they earn. They conclude that the Commissioner of Inland Revenue is in reality helping them fund the growth of the value of their property.

If it can be avoided, don't borrow against your home for investment. This applies particularly when the investment is speculative. Things do go wrong and you wouldn't want to find yourself (and your family) out on the street without a roof over your head.

If you borrow money to invest, this is known as margin lending. The extra funds raised allow you to invest more, increasing the potential returns, compared to what you would get from your standard savings. It allows you to use other people's money so you can get a significant increase in your wealth from a small deposit.

The negative side is when share prices fall below a level and a margin call is made. When this happens you will have 24 hours to respond in one of three ways. You have to come up with the cash, you have to sell assets, or you have to provide additional assets to top up the equity.

If you have a margin loan, make sure you fully understand the terms of your loan and also put in place survival strategies in case things don't work out.

Creating Wealth by Gearing Up

Creating Wealth by Gearing Up


Gearing is where you borrow money to invest. As already mentioned, it is best to clear all your debt before looking at investment. However, there will arise situations where the investment is a good one and it is necessary to borrow a small amount to make the deal work. The borrowing may be for property or shares.

Gearing allows you to increase your investment and potentially obtain a higher return. On the downside, however, if the investment does not pay off you stand to lose a lot more. Negative gearing comes about when the interest you are paying on your borrowing is greater than the income from your investment (for example, from a rental property). You can claim the loss or difference against your taxation and write it off as a deduction against other income.

Negative gearing is not necessarily the best investment strategy. Even though you get a tax break it is still costing you money. That is, you may be saving yourself 25 cents in the dollar, but you have to spend one dollar to achieve that.

People look at negative gearing because they calculate that they will be able to sell the investment for more than they bought it and in the meantime their losses are deductible off other income they earn. They conclude that the Commissioner of Inland Revenue is in reality helping them fund the growth of the value of their property.

If it can be avoided, don't borrow against your home for investment. This applies particularly when the investment is speculative. Things do go wrong and you wouldn't want to find yourself (and your family) out on the street without a roof over your head.

If you borrow money to invest, this is known as margin lending. The extra funds raised allow you to invest more, increasing the potential returns, compared to what you would get from your standard savings. It allows you to use other people's money so you can get a significant increase in your wealth from a small deposit.

The negative side is when share prices fall below a level and a margin call is made. When this happens you will have 24 hours to respond in one of three ways. You have to come up with the cash, you have to sell assets, or you have to provide additional assets to top up the equity.

If you have a margin loan, make sure you fully understand the terms of your loan and also put in place survival strategies in case things don't work out.